SD-301d · Module 2

Score Decay and Refresh Cycles

3 min read

A deal score is not a photograph. It is a heartbeat monitor. A score of 82 two weeks ago means nothing today if no engagement has occurred since. Score decay is the mechanism that reflects this reality. Every day without engagement, the score drops by a defined increment. The decay rate is calibrated to your sales cycle — a ninety-day enterprise deal decays slower than a thirty-day mid-market deal. The principle is the same: a score without recent evidence is an outdated score, and outdated scores produce inaccurate forecasts.

The refresh cycle determines how often the score recalculates with new data. Real-time is ideal. Daily is practical. Weekly is the minimum. The refresh should incorporate every new data point: emails sent and received, meetings held, documents viewed, stakeholders added or removed. Each data point adjusts the score up or down. The result is a score that reflects the current state of the deal, not the state at the last manual update. When reps see scores that move, they take scoring seriously. When scores are static numbers assigned once, they ignore them.

Do This

  • Implement score decay that reduces the score when engagement gaps exceed the sales cycle norm
  • Refresh scores at minimum daily with every new engagement data point
  • Display score trend over time — a score of 72 that was 81 last week tells a different story than a 72 that was 65

Avoid This

  • Let scores remain static until a rep manually updates the deal record
  • Treat a two-week-old score as current — it is not, and the forecast will reflect the error
  • Apply the same decay rate to enterprise and mid-market deals — the engagement rhythms are different