EC-301b · Module 1
The AI ROI Categories
4 min read
AI value falls into four categories. Each tells a different financial story. Building a business case means identifying which categories apply, quantifying each separately, and presenting them in a way that lets the executive validate each claim independently.
Category one: cost reduction through automation. This is the most straightforward ROI story. Hours of human labor replaced by AI labor at a fraction of the cost. The calculation requires: current labor cost for the task, AI system cost for the same task, volume of tasks per year, and implementation cost amortized over the investment period. Every variable in this calculation is auditable.
Category two: revenue acceleration through better decisions faster. AI enables faster pricing, faster qualification, faster personalization, faster response to market signals. The ROI story here requires: how much revenue is currently delayed by slow decisions, what the AI acceleration looks like in measurable terms (time to quote reduced from 4 days to 4 hours), and what historical data shows about conversion rates at different response speeds. This is harder to quantify but entirely achievable with the right data.
Category three: risk mitigation through error reduction and compliance. AI reduces the frequency of costly errors — miscalculated claims, missed compliance requirements, incorrect pricing. The ROI story requires: the historical cost of errors the AI will reduce, the frequency of those errors, and the expected error reduction rate. Industry benchmarks can substitute for internal data when historical records are incomplete.
Category four: capability unlocking — things previously impossible at this cost or speed. This is the hardest to quantify and the most powerful when quantified correctly. "We can now analyze every customer interaction in real time and flag churn risk — previously we analyzed 5% of interactions quarterly." The ROI requires building a model of what that previously-impossible capability is worth.
Do This
- Present ROI by category with separate calculations: cost reduction, revenue, risk mitigation, capability
- Show the work for each category: inputs, assumptions, calculation methodology
- Use the category with the strongest data as the lead claim — the others are additive
- Acknowledge when a category is estimated from benchmarks rather than internal data
Avoid This
- Present total projected ROI as a single number without category breakdown
- Mix hard data (cost reduction) with speculative claims (capability value) without distinguishing them
- Lead with the category that is most exciting but least defensible
- Present benchmark-based estimates as if they are internally validated figures