DS-101 · Module 3
The Decision Framework
3 min read
Most "data-driven" decisions skip the first step: defining the question. Teams pull dashboards, run queries, and build slides before they have agreed on what they are trying to decide. The result is analysis that is technically correct and strategically useless — it answers a question nobody asked.
- Step 1: Define the Decision State the specific decision you need to make in one sentence. Not "analyze our marketing performance" but "decide whether to increase paid search budget by 20% next quarter." If you cannot state the decision in one sentence, you are not ready for data — you need a strategy conversation first.
- Step 2: Identify Relevant Data What data would help you make this decision? What data exists? What data is missing? Be specific: "paid search conversion rate by keyword cluster for the last 6 months" is useful. "Marketing data" is not. Scope the data to the decision — do not pull everything and hope insight emerges.
- Step 3: Analyze with the Decision in Mind Every analysis should end with one of three conclusions: yes (the data supports the action), no (the data argues against it), or insufficient (we need more data before deciding). If your analysis does not clearly point to one of these, refine the question or gather more data.
- Step 4: Decide and Document Make the decision. Write down what you decided, what data informed it, and what you expect to happen. This creates accountability — you can look back in 90 days and check whether the data actually predicted the outcome.
- Step 5: Measure the Outcome After 30, 60, or 90 days, compare actual results to your prediction. Did the decision produce the expected outcome? If not, why? This feedback loop is what turns data-informed guessing into genuine data-driven decision-making over time.